We picked up a pair of plus-money winners on Tuesday, a welcome addition to our NHL betting lives. Now, Wednesday brings with it Game 2 in Florida and the start of a fresh series out West. Let’s touch ’em both with two fresh looks for tonight’s playoff action.
Jeremy Swayman over 30.5 saves (-110 DraftKings)
I’ll level with you all, I was extremely angry with myself for how I played those Florida SOG props in Game 1. I should have played all three of Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Reinhart and Carter Verhaeghe straight at 4+ and 5+ shots, rather than tie together their fates in some parlays.
The shots taken off of Verhaeghe’s stat sheet had me wildly frustrated, and while I am very likely still going back to those guys, we need to be backing the man who is going to face the onslaught ahead.
Jeremy Swayman has been simply phenomenal this postseason, and he stopped 38 of 39 shots on Monday. With Florida down 0-1 this series, I expect once again for the Panthers to pummel the puck on net.
Sign me up for the Swayman train today. He is locked in between the pipes.
Elias Pettersson over 2.5 SOG (+150 DraftKings)
Note: Pettersson missed Tuesday practice with illness. TBD if he can play. This would void if he can’t go.
I think this series should be a bit more open than what we saw from Vancouver in Round One, mostly due to the pace that Edmonton tends to play at. It’s for that reason I hopped into some Canucks trends to see if anyone stood out for shots, and Elias Pettersson is an intriguing name worth a mention.
Pettersson definitely had a rough opening-round series against Nashville, logging just three assists and failing to exceed 2.5 shots in five of six. The hope here is two-fold. One: he can mostly avoid skating against Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, and two: he can continue to find some ideal volume that should conceivably translate to better prop success.
In three home games last round, the second-line center piled up 20 shot attempts. That’s some volume I can get behind, and then I see his history against the Oilers, and here I am locking in a juicy +150 prop.
Pettersson has 3+ shots in 10 of his past 12 against Edmonton, including six straight at home.
Based on his volume when facing the Oilers and his attempts at home last round, I’m projecting Pettersson to get off 5+ attempts tonight. When he hits that number, he’s over 2.5 shots in 70% of his games over the past two seasons.
